Euro Area Risks Amid US Protectionism
This paper examines the impact of US protectionist trade policies on the euro area economy, focusing on macroeconomic and financial repercussions. While direct tariff effects are mitigated by exchange rate adjustments and ECB policies, broader risks arise from global trade disruptions and financial contagion. Increased risk premia on US bonds elevate European financing costs, posing fiscal challenges. We highlight the importance of trade diversification, innovation incentives, and prudent monetary policy to mitigate economic vulnerabilities and sustain long-term growth. This document was provided by the Economic Governance and EMU Scrutiny Unit at the request of the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs (ECON) ahead of the Monetary Dialogue with the ECB President on 20 March 2025.
Studio
Autore esterno
Laura BOTTAZZI, Carlo FAVERO, Ruben FERNANDEZ FUERTES , Francesco GIAVAZZI, Veronica GUERRIERI, Guido LORENZON, Tommaso MONACELLI
Informazioni sul documento
Tipo di pubblicazione
Parole chiave
- America
- commercio
- commercio internazionale
- esportazione (UE)
- FINANZE
- GEOGRAFIA
- geografia economica
- geografia politica
- politica commerciale
- politica commerciale
- politica tariffaria
- politica tariffaria
- relazioni monetarie
- restrizione all'esportazione
- SCAMBI ECONOMICI E COMMERCIALI
- Stati Uniti
- zona euro